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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+0.89vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+1.85vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.01-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia2.39-0.21vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.80-1.91vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.44vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.34-2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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2.89University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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4.85Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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3.65College of Charleston3.010.2%1st Place
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4.79University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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4.09Eckerd College2.800.2%1st Place
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4.56SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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6.75Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 1.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 26.3% | 23.5% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| Christophe Killian | 17.1% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 8.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 1.9% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 15.3% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 1.4% |
| Nick Watts | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 39.7% | 13.4% |
| John O'Brien | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 9.9% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.