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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+3.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.01+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia2.39+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59-1.31vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45-0.32vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.80-1.93vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34-0.23vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.49vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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3.92College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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2.69University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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4.68Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.07Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.77Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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4.51SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 1.1% |
| Christophe Killian | 12.8% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 2.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 31.6% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 8.7% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 13.9% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Nick Watts | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 39.4% | 14.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.8% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| John O'Brien | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 10.4% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.