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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.80+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia2.39+3.11vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59-1.31vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.34+1.60vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.01-2.33vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.38-2.02vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.47vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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4.84Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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2.69University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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6.6Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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3.67College of Charleston3.010.2%1st Place
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4.98Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.53SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason D'Agostino | 14.1% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Craven | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 2.8% |
| John Silvestri | 9.2% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 1.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 29.3% | 26.3% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 35.3% | 14.1% |
| Christophe Killian | 16.8% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 1.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 0.9% |
| John O'Brien | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.