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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.34+5.71vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.80+2.30vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia2.39+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59-1.30vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.01-1.33vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45-1.25vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.38-2.04vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook2.59-3.50vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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4.3Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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2.7University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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3.67College of Charleston3.010.2%1st Place
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4.75Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.96Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.5SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Watts | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 39.7% | 13.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 10.0% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 2.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 29.8% | 24.8% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 18.5% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| John Silvestri | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 1.9% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 0.7% |
| John O'Brien | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 10.1% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.