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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+1.79vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.80+2.30vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34+3.76vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.01-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia2.39-0.25vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45-1.24vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.38-2.02vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.48vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of South Florida3.590.3%1st Place
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4.3Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.76Tulane University1.340.0%1st Place
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3.66College of Charleston3.010.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Virginia2.390.1%1st Place
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4.76Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.98Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.52SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 30.0% | 22.0% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 10.7% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Nick Watts | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 40.4% | 12.6% |
| Christophe Killian | 16.8% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 9.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% |
| John Silvestri | 9.4% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 1.9% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 1.2% |
| John O'Brien | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 9.4% | 80.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.