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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+3.71vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University2.27+1.27vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.40vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.44-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.71-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.86+0.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.15-2.50vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.31-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.6711.1%1st Place
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3.27San Diego State University2.2721.9%1st Place
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4.4California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.5%1st Place
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3.1Stanford University2.4423.9%1st Place
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4.65University of Southern California1.7110.5%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Berkeley0.864.7%1st Place
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7.87University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Washington1.156.6%1st Place
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5.32University of Hawaii1.317.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Henry Boeger | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
Noah Nyenhuis | 21.9% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
Nicholas Mueller | 12.5% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
Chapman Petersen | 23.9% | 22.2% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Hudson Mayfield | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
Carsten Zieger | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 24.2% | 14.7% |
Rigel Mummers | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 59.5% |
Oliver Nairn | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 7.8% |
Everett McAvoy | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.