← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.10+4.48vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.61+9.84vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.35+5.62vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College3.14+5.44vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin3.04+4.79vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.85+4.79vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+3.19vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.74-1.34vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.71-2.18vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.90+0.54vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.38-2.56vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.91-1.29vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.75-1.47vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.17vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.58-3.14vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University2.97-5.84vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.41vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University2.74-6.67vs Predicted
-
19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-9.08vs Predicted
-
20Columbia University0.51-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.48Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
-
11.84Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
8.62Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.44Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
9.79University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
10.79Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
10.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
-
6.66U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
6.82College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.54University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
-
8.44Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.71Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
-
11.53Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
-
12.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
11.86Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.16Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
14.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
11.33Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
-
18.46Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 14.9% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Mary Hall | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 1.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 5.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 10.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicole Edwards | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 10.5% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.