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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.97+9.14vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+8.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.96vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+2.94vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+0.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+2.53vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+2.79vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.76vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04-0.10vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.90-0.44vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.85vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-2.13vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.75-2.82vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-3.18vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.74-4.78vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.58-5.22vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-3.23vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-6.26vs Predicted
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20Columbia University0.51-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.14Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.77Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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5.44Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.79Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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8.24Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.56University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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10.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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11.82Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.22Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.78Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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14.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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18.43Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Luna | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Mary Hall | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Christine Moloney | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 19.9% | 12.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 3.4% |
| Nicole Edwards | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 10.9% | 67.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.