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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.44vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.71+4.97vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+7.88vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+2.88vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.83vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+4.58vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+2.71vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+1.93vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.90+1.42vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-1.61vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.74+0.26vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.75-0.60vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.58-0.64vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-4.17vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-6.53vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-6.12vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.41vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.61-6.07vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-6.24vs Predicted
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20Columbia University0.51-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.71Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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9.93Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.42University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.39Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.26Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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12.36Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.47Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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14.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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11.93Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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18.49Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Mary Hall | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 21.0% | 9.8% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 3.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.