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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.71+5.97vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+8.49vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04+6.95vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+5.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+7.77vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.89vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.90+3.83vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35+0.21vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-0.75vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.74+1.32vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58+1.05vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-1.64vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-1.87vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-2.13vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.03vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-4.87vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.44vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.10-12.54vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-9.14vs Predicted
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20Columbia University0.51-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.45Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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12.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.83University of South Florida2.900.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.25Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.32Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.05Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.36Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.13Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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11.87Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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14.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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5.46Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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18.46Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clerc Cooper | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| Mary Hall | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dominique Wright | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 2.4% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Christine Moloney | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 20.1% | 10.2% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Nicole Edwards | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.