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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+7.91vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.59+7.00vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33+5.21vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32+4.40vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+2.85vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.30+2.21vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.76+3.69vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+0.69vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.22-0.19vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-3.55vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-6.24vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.76-5.77vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-1.23vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.97-4.18vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.78-4.44vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.72-4.87vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.75-10.75vs Predicted
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20Columbia University-0.51-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.0College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.4Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.760.0%1st Place
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10.69University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.81Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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8.45Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.23Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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13.77Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.82Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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12.56Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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13.13Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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18.96Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Eliot Caple | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Kate Klement | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Kelly Monahan | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 1.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Marly Isler | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 19.2% | 5.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 1.6% |
| Grace Mason | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 2.9% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 3.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.