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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+7.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+8.21vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+7.78vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+6.30vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+4.45vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.59+3.15vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76+1.59vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-1.67vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.03vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.86vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-3.47vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50+1.21vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.72-1.13vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.30-4.57vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.76-3.24vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.22-6.43vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.78-5.22vs Predicted
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19Cornell University1.97-7.16vs Predicted
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20Columbia University-0.51-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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10.78University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.15College of Charleston2.590.0%1st Place
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8.59Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.33Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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14.21Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.87Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.760.0%1st Place
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10.57Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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12.78Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.84Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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18.93Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| Kate Klement | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte List | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Eliot Caple | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Marly Isler | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 7.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 2.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Monahan | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 3.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Grace Mason | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 2.5% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 8.1% | 77.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.