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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.99vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+6.28vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+6.62vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.24+6.67vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+7.86vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.32+3.53vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.76+4.55vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.97+2.77vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.22+0.76vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.76-2.61vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-3.50vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.65vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-0.20vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.59-5.89vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-9.56vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.30-6.77vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.78-5.14vs Predicted
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19Columbia University-0.51-0.13vs Predicted
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20U. S. Naval Academy2.33-9.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.67University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.86Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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12.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.760.0%1st Place
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11.77Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.76Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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8.39Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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13.8Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.11College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.23Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.86Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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18.87Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Smith | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 3.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Kelly Monahan | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 3.9% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Marly Isler | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 5.1% |
| Eliot Caple | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Grace Mason | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 4.2% |
| Haley Collins | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 76.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.