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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+7.16vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.24+8.54vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+7.33vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+5.35vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+1.41vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.59+3.09vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+0.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.23vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.78+2.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.78vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-3.61vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.22-1.93vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.72-1.17vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-6.71vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.30-5.74vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-3.36vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.70-4.96vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.76-6.38vs Predicted
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20Columbia University-0.51-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.54University of South Florida2.240.1%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.41Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.09College of Charleston2.590.0%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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12.65Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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8.39Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.07Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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12.83Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.29Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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13.64Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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13.04Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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12.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.760.0%1st Place
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18.92Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Kate Klement | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte List | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eliot Caple | 4.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Mason | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Marly Isler | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 3.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 4.9% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% |
| Kelly Monahan | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 2.4% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.