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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.41+4.18vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+4.10vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.55+1.84vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.07+2.44vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University1.35+3.64vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University0.29+5.92vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.21+5.17vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.05-1.79vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.03+0.56vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69+0.78vs Predicted
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11Bentley University0.50+0.23vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.67-4.42vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.21-4.00vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.06-4.56vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.50-1.14vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-12.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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8.64Brandeis University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.92Wesleyan University0.290.0%1st Place
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12.17Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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6.21Salve Regina University2.050.1%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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11.23Bentley University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.58Harvard University1.670.0%1st Place
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9.0Maine Maritime Academy1.210.0%1st Place
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9.44McGill University1.060.0%1st Place
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13.86University of New Hampshire-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.05Boston University3.350.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fiske | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 14.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Russell | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Verdeja | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Keegan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 15.1% |
| James Conkling | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 16.3% |
| Stephen Byrne | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Henderson | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Santiago Enrique | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 5.8% |
| Jaime Russell | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 9.1% |
| Nick Waldo | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Butcka | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Alysan Polito | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 45.3% |
| Matt Johnson | 29.0% | 20.5% | 17.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.