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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+2.43vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+1.19vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.00+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.70+1.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.55vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.11-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Hawaii1.0517.5%1st Place
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3.19University of Southern California0.9021.1%1st Place
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3.46Stanford University1.0018.7%1st Place
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3.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.0821.6%1st Place
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6.34University of California at San Diego-0.703.5%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Berkeley-0.225.5%1st Place
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6.37Arizona State University-0.392.9%1st Place
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4.55University of Washington0.119.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 17.5% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 21.1% | 20.8% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Ava Cornell | 18.7% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 21.6% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 22.0% | 39.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 21.7% | 16.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 27.6% | 34.8% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.