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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
6.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.51+16.04vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.76+9.79vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+4.75vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.78+7.24vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+6.52vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.22+3.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.04vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.30+1.30vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.50+3.52vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-2.30vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-2.27vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-5.28vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-7.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.33-5.12vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.76-7.65vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.24-6.34vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.32-7.61vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.59-10.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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17.04Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.760.0%1st Place
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7.75Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.24Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.52Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston College2.220.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.52Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.35Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.66University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston2.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Collins | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 78.1% |
| Kelly Monahan | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Mason | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 2.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Lynn | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 5.8% |
| Rose Edwards | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Smith | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Marly Isler | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Kate Klement | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Eliot Caple | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.