Race 1A

oriental-sailpack-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Laura Smit 18.5% 19.8% 19.7% 19.0% 12.0% 7.7% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 16.9% 21.1% 22.0% 17.4% 13.2% 6.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 37.9% 25.3% 17.1% 11.7% 5.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kara Wheeler 11.3% 13.4% 14.2% 19.8% 20.4% 13.6% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Allyson Plessner 7.5% 11.4% 14.5% 14.8% 18.9% 18.1% 10.4% 3.7% 0.7%
Ryan Welch 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 3.2% 4.9% 8.5% 19.2% 38.1% 21.7%
Elliot Greenwald 4.0% 3.8% 5.8% 8.7% 13.6% 23.2% 24.7% 13.0% 3.2%
Paulina Spencer 2.5% 2.7% 3.9% 4.9% 9.3% 17.0% 27.5% 23.8% 8.4%
Shawn Majzlik 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 2.2% 3.4% 7.4% 18.5% 65.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.