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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University1.49+2.09vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.08+0.39vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.39+0.23vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.85-0.01vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston0.56-0.56vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.69+0.44vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.22-2.21vs Predicted
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9Davidson College-1.35-1.67vs Predicted
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10Auburn University-2.33-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Syracuse University1.490.2%1st Place
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2.39Florida State University2.080.3%1st Place
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3.23College of Charleston1.390.2%1st Place
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3.99North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.44College of Charleston0.560.1%1st Place
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6.44North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.79Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.33Davidson College-1.350.0%1st Place
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8.29Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Pardini | 21.3% | 20.7% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 33.8% | 26.6% | 19.6% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 18.9% | 18.6% | 20.5% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Plessner | 7.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Paulina Spencer | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 28.9% | 24.5% | 6.8% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 23.5% | 24.8% | 12.5% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Welch | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 36.9% | 23.3% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 19.0% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.