Race 3A

oriental-sailpack-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Curtis Woodworth 36.6% 26.6% 17.4% 11.1% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Smit 15.3% 19.7% 22.1% 18.5% 13.1% 6.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 21.6% 19.6% 19.3% 18.3% 12.4% 6.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Elliot Greenwald 3.7% 4.7% 6.2% 10.2% 13.7% 23.3% 22.0% 13.0% 3.2%
Kara Wheeler 11.1% 14.7% 16.7% 16.4% 17.5% 13.0% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4%
Paulina Spencer 2.2% 2.3% 4.3% 6.1% 8.1% 18.1% 27.6% 24.6% 6.7%
Allyson Plessner 7.8% 10.2% 10.8% 15.7% 21.9% 18.1% 11.9% 3.1% 0.5%
Ryan Welch 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 5.6% 8.4% 18.0% 36.9% 23.5%
Shawn Majzlik 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 2.3% 3.2% 6.5% 19.1% 65.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.