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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.08+1.29vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.39+1.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.56+1.56vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University0.85-0.07vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.49-1.99vs Predicted
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6Davidson College-1.35+1.34vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.22-1.22vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.69-1.56vs Predicted
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10Auburn University-2.33-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Florida State University2.080.4%1st Place
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3.34College of Charleston1.390.1%1st Place
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4.56College of Charleston0.560.1%1st Place
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3.93North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.01Syracuse University1.490.2%1st Place
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7.34Davidson College-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.78Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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6.44North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.3Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Woodworth | 37.2% | 25.6% | 18.5% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 13.9% | 20.8% | 22.0% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Plessner | 6.6% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 21.5% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Kara Wheeler | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 23.0% | 22.3% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Welch | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 18.8% | 38.6% | 21.7% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 24.0% | 23.9% | 13.4% | 3.3% |
| Paulina Spencer | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 26.9% | 23.4% | 8.8% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 18.5% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.