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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.56+3.43vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.49+1.16vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.08-0.73vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.22+1.44vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.39-1.90vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.85-2.03vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.69-0.82vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-2.33-1.27vs Predicted
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10Davidson College-3.91-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43College of Charleston0.560.1%1st Place
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3.16Syracuse University1.490.2%1st Place
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2.27Florida State University2.080.4%1st Place
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5.44Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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3.1College of Charleston1.390.2%1st Place
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3.97North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.18North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
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7.73Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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8.73Davidson College-3.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Plessner | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 17.5% | 20.1% | 22.1% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 38.2% | 25.1% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 29.6% | 25.3% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Laura Smit | 19.8% | 22.0% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 9.8% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 5.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Paulina Spencer | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 20.3% | 40.4% | 14.2% | 1.4% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 10.7% | 63.7% | 15.8% |
| Peter Baay | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 12.9% | 82.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.