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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.56+3.45vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.08+0.34vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.49+0.01vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.39-0.90vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.69+1.07vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.22-1.44vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.85-3.99vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-2.33-1.26vs Predicted
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10Davidson College-3.91-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45College of Charleston0.560.1%1st Place
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2.34Florida State University2.080.3%1st Place
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3.01Syracuse University1.490.2%1st Place
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3.1College of Charleston1.390.2%1st Place
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6.07North Carolina State University-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.56Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.01North Carolina State University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.74Auburn University-2.330.0%1st Place
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8.72Davidson College-3.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Plessner | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 11.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 33.6% | 27.7% | 19.1% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 21.5% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smit | 19.6% | 20.2% | 22.3% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paulina Spencer | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 36.7% | 14.2% | 1.5% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 25.2% | 30.1% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Kara Wheeler | 10.7% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Majzlik | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 10.2% | 63.9% | 16.1% |
| Peter Baay | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 13.3% | 81.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.