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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University0.50+1.62vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.93+3.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.73-0.71vs Predicted
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4Davidson College-1.28+1.66vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.81-0.23vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.99-0.80vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.44-0.92vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-1.48-1.86vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston-1.95-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Florida State University0.500.3%1st Place
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5.26Syracuse University-0.930.1%1st Place
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2.29College of Charleston0.730.4%1st Place
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5.66Davidson College-1.280.1%1st Place
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4.77North Carolina State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.2North Carolina State University-0.990.1%1st Place
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6.08Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
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6.14Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Melendez | 27.8% | 26.9% | 20.9% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kevin McCandless | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 6.6% |
| Leah Cody | 37.3% | 26.7% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Masone | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% |
| April Lamb | 7.7% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Zack Morey | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Alberto Rivera | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 15.8% |
| Kirsten Failing | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| Matthew Scotti | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.