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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston-1.95+6.02vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.50+0.73vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.73-0.70vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.93+1.01vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.44+0.96vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.81-1.16vs Predicted
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7Davidson College-1.28-1.18vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-1.48-1.87vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.99-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02College of Charleston-1.950.0%1st Place
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2.73Florida State University0.500.2%1st Place
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2.3College of Charleston0.730.4%1st Place
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5.01Syracuse University-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.96Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
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4.84North Carolina State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.82Davidson College-1.280.1%1st Place
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6.13Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.21North Carolina State University-0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Scotti | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 36.4% |
| Rafael Melendez | 24.5% | 29.8% | 18.8% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Leah Cody | 37.1% | 26.2% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McCandless | 7.1% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
| Alberto Rivera | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 16.9% |
| April Lamb | 7.3% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Masone | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 11.4% |
| Kirsten Failing | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 18.1% |
| Zack Morey | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.