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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.73+1.26vs Predicted
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2Davidson College-1.28+3.96vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.93+2.12vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.50-1.44vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston-1.95+1.82vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.44+0.05vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-1.48-0.82vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.99-2.79vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.81-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26College of Charleston0.730.4%1st Place
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5.96Davidson College-1.280.0%1st Place
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5.12Syracuse University-0.930.1%1st Place
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2.56Florida State University0.500.3%1st Place
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6.82College of Charleston-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.05Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
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6.18Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.21North Carolina State University-0.990.1%1st Place
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4.84North Carolina State University-0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Cody | 37.7% | 26.9% | 18.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Masone | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 14.8% |
| Kevin McCandless | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 6.1% |
| Rafael Melendez | 29.2% | 27.7% | 20.2% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Scotti | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 34.1% |
| Alberto Rivera | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.8% |
| Kirsten Failing | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 17.6% |
| Zack Morey | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 7.2% |
| April Lamb | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.