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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University2.27+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.31+3.34vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.38vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.44-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.15-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.71-2.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.86-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27San Diego State University2.2721.6%1st Place
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5.34University of Hawaii1.317.0%1st Place
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4.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.7%1st Place
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3.1Stanford University2.4423.4%1st Place
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4.56University of California at Santa Barbara1.6711.9%1st Place
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5.42University of Washington1.156.8%1st Place
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4.76University of Southern California1.7110.9%1st Place
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6.21University of California at Berkeley0.864.5%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Noah Nyenhuis | 21.6% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Everett McAvoy | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 7.1% |
Nicholas Mueller | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
Chapman Petersen | 23.4% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Henry Boeger | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 3.3% |
Oliver Nairn | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 6.9% |
Hudson Mayfield | 10.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 3.4% |
Carsten Zieger | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 24.2% | 14.2% |
Rigel Mummers | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.