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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University0.50+1.62vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.81+3.05vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston0.73-0.71vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.93+0.98vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.99+0.10vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-1.48-0.85vs Predicted
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8Davidson College-1.28-2.25vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.44-2.92vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston-1.95-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Florida State University0.500.3%1st Place
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5.05North Carolina State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.29College of Charleston0.730.4%1st Place
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4.98Syracuse University-0.930.1%1st Place
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5.1North Carolina State University-0.990.1%1st Place
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6.15Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.75Davidson College-1.280.1%1st Place
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6.08Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
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6.98College of Charleston-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Melendez | 27.9% | 27.1% | 20.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| April Lamb | 5.3% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Leah Cody | 37.0% | 27.3% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McCandless | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| Zack Morey | 6.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| Kirsten Failing | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 17.5% |
| Christopher Masone | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 10.7% |
| Alberto Rivera | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| Matthew Scotti | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.