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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.73+1.30vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.93+3.25vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.81+1.91vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-1.44+1.96vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.99+0.10vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.50-4.40vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-1.48-1.83vs Predicted
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9Davidson College-1.28-3.26vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston-1.95-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3College of Charleston0.730.4%1st Place
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5.25Syracuse University-0.930.0%1st Place
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4.91North Carolina State University-0.810.1%1st Place
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5.96Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
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5.1North Carolina State University-0.990.1%1st Place
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2.6Florida State University0.500.3%1st Place
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6.17Auburn University-1.480.0%1st Place
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5.74Davidson College-1.280.1%1st Place
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6.98College of Charleston-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Cody | 37.3% | 26.6% | 18.4% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McCandless | 4.5% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| April Lamb | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 4.1% |
| Alberto Rivera | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 15.2% |
| Zack Morey | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% |
| Rafael Melendez | 27.5% | 29.3% | 19.0% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kirsten Failing | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 16.7% |
| Christopher Masone | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.6% |
| Matthew Scotti | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.