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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.20+1.43vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.31+0.45vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.70+0.09vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.34-2.77vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.87-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Florida2.200.3%1st Place
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3.45University of South Florida1.310.1%1st Place
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4.09Rollins College0.700.1%1st Place
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2.23Eckerd College2.340.3%1st Place
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2.79Jacksonville University1.870.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Famiglietti | 29.0% | 27.3% | 21.2% | 16.5% | 6.0% |
| Sara Simon | 10.4% | 14.2% | 20.6% | 29.5% | 25.3% |
| Maria Ayala | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 20.1% | 54.5% |
| Samuel Normington | 34.6% | 27.1% | 22.7% | 11.4% | 4.2% |
| Peter Hidley | 20.2% | 23.1% | 24.2% | 22.5% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.