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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+2.45vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+0.09vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.00-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.11-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.46vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of Hawaii1.0518.3%1st Place
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3.28University of Southern California0.9020.6%1st Place
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.0822.5%1st Place
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3.42Stanford University1.0018.2%1st Place
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4.55University of Washington0.119.6%1st Place
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5.54University of California at Berkeley-0.224.7%1st Place
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6.29Arizona State University-0.393.3%1st Place
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6.38University of California at San Diego-0.702.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 18.3% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 20.6% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 22.5% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Ava Cornell | 18.2% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 5.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 21.1% | 21.9% | 17.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 25.5% | 35.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 23.2% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.