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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University1.11+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+0.12vs Predicted
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3Hope College1.10-0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.25+0.33vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.97+0.16vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.43-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.92-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Marquette University1.110.2%1st Place
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2.12University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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2.61Hope College1.100.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.16Michigan State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.54Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Notre Dame-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Clulo | 25.0% | 27.2% | 22.9% | 16.0% | 7.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 38.0% | 29.1% | 20.5% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| DJ Litts | 23.7% | 25.3% | 27.8% | 14.5% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| John O'Brien | 5.4% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 22.1% | 29.1% | 19.7% | 3.0% |
| Christian McAlvey | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 13.4% | 22.8% | 40.9% | 11.0% |
| Austin Lee | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 23.5% | 26.2% | 25.7% | 4.0% |
| Matt Reilly | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 81.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.