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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.60vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.97+3.07vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.11-0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.25+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.51-2.83vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.43-1.50vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-3.58-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Hope College1.100.2%1st Place
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5.07Michigan State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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2.56Marquette University1.110.3%1st Place
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4.28University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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2.17University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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4.5Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Notre Dame-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 23.9% | 27.8% | 23.6% | 16.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Christian McAlvey | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 13.8% | 23.0% | 44.5% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Clulo | 25.2% | 26.0% | 25.0% | 16.6% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 23.2% | 28.8% | 19.9% | 1.7% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 36.9% | 27.9% | 21.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 31.7% | 24.8% | 2.3% |
| Abby Kerschner | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 6.4% | 90.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.