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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.60vs Predicted
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2Marquette University1.11+0.58vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.51-0.88vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.25+0.34vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.97+0.16vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-0.43-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.92-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Hope College1.100.3%1st Place
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2.58Marquette University1.110.2%1st Place
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2.12University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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4.34University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.16Michigan State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.54Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Notre Dame-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 25.4% | 25.6% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Clulo | 24.2% | 26.5% | 25.7% | 15.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 37.4% | 30.0% | 20.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 5.3% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 22.4% | 29.5% | 19.4% | 3.0% |
| Christian McAlvey | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 23.1% | 40.9% | 10.9% |
| Austin Lee | 4.5% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 21.5% | 27.0% | 25.7% | 4.1% |
| Matt Reilly | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.