← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+3.38vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.69vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.71+1.78vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.44-0.98vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.31+0.28vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University2.27-2.73vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.86-0.85vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington1.15-2.51vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.38California Poly Maritime Academy1.9211.1%1st Place
-
4.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.7%1st Place
-
4.78University of Southern California1.7110.3%1st Place
-
3.02Stanford University2.4424.8%1st Place
-
5.28University of Hawaii1.318.0%1st Place
-
3.27San Diego State University2.2722.6%1st Place
-
6.15University of California at Berkeley0.864.6%1st Place
-
5.49University of Washington1.156.7%1st Place
-
7.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nicholas Mueller | 11.1% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
Henry Boeger | 10.7% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 3.6% |
Hudson Mayfield | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 3.4% |
Chapman Petersen | 24.8% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Everett McAvoy | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 5.9% |
Noah Nyenhuis | 22.6% | 20.4% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Carsten Zieger | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 23.8% | 14.7% |
Oliver Nairn | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 7.6% |
Rigel Mummers | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.