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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University1.11+1.56vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-0.43+2.49vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.51-0.87vs Predicted
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4Hope College1.10-1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.25-0.64vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.97-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.92-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Marquette University1.110.3%1st Place
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4.49Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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2.13University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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2.65Hope College1.100.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.15Michigan State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Notre Dame-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Clulo | 26.3% | 25.8% | 24.7% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Austin Lee | 5.9% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 20.7% | 30.1% | 22.9% | 4.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 35.1% | 33.4% | 19.5% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| DJ Litts | 24.5% | 22.2% | 26.2% | 19.1% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 5.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 23.2% | 26.9% | 20.5% | 4.1% |
| Christian McAlvey | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 43.7% | 9.8% |
| Matt Reilly | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 81.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.