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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University1.11+1.57vs Predicted
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2Hope College1.10+0.59vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.51-0.88vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-0.43+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.25-0.72vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.97-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-3.58-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Marquette University1.110.3%1st Place
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2.59Hope College1.100.2%1st Place
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2.12University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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4.54Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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5.08Michigan State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Notre Dame-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Clulo | 26.3% | 25.7% | 23.1% | 16.6% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| DJ Litts | 23.8% | 26.5% | 26.1% | 15.8% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 36.6% | 30.2% | 21.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 19.2% | 30.7% | 26.3% | 2.4% |
| John O'Brien | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 25.1% | 27.6% | 19.9% | 1.9% |
| Christian McAlvey | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 44.9% | 5.5% |
| Abby Kerschner | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 89.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.