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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University1.11+1.52vs Predicted
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2Hope College1.10+0.60vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-0.43+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.51-1.82vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.97+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.25-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-3.58-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Marquette University1.110.3%1st Place
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2.6Hope College1.100.2%1st Place
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4.5Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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2.18University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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5.11Michigan State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.27University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Notre Dame-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Clulo | 27.8% | 25.3% | 23.1% | 16.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| DJ Litts | 22.3% | 29.4% | 24.4% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lee | 6.0% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 20.7% | 30.8% | 24.1% | 3.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 35.6% | 28.3% | 22.8% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian McAlvey | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 13.3% | 23.8% | 44.4% | 6.5% |
| John O'Brien | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 24.0% | 26.7% | 21.0% | 1.3% |
| Abby Kerschner | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 88.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.