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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College1.10+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+0.13vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.11-0.42vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.25+0.33vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-0.43-0.43vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.97-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.92-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Hope College1.100.2%1st Place
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2.13University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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2.58Marquette University1.110.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
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4.57Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.12Michigan State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Notre Dame-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 24.7% | 26.3% | 23.3% | 16.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 37.3% | 29.8% | 20.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 24.6% | 25.7% | 26.0% | 15.8% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| John O'Brien | 5.3% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 21.7% | 29.0% | 20.0% | 2.8% |
| Austin Lee | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 21.2% | 27.1% | 26.1% | 5.0% |
| Christian McAlvey | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 13.6% | 23.0% | 41.1% | 9.6% |
| Matt Reilly | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 82.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.