← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hope College1.10+1.60vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.51+0.12vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University1.11-0.40vs Predicted
-
4University of Notre Dame-0.25+0.33vs Predicted
-
5Michigan State University-0.97+0.16vs Predicted
-
6Western Michigan University-0.43-1.46vs Predicted
-
7University of Notre Dame-2.92-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6Hope College1.100.2%1st Place
-
2.12University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
-
2.6Marquette University1.110.2%1st Place
-
4.33University of Notre Dame-0.250.1%1st Place
-
5.16Michigan State University-0.970.0%1st Place
-
4.54Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
-
6.66University of Notre Dame-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Litts | 24.8% | 26.7% | 23.3% | 15.8% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 38.0% | 29.1% | 20.6% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 24.0% | 25.7% | 27.3% | 14.6% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| John O'Brien | 5.4% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 22.5% | 28.9% | 19.6% | 3.0% |
| Christian McAlvey | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 13.4% | 22.8% | 40.9% | 11.0% |
| Austin Lee | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 23.3% | 26.3% | 25.7% | 4.0% |
| Matt Reilly | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.