← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan State University1.06+0.75vs Predicted
-
2Western Michigan University-1.40+2.91vs Predicted
-
3University of Notre Dame-0.86+1.14vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.96vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame-1.69+0.38vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan-0.54-2.33vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-1.63-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.75Michigan State University1.060.5%1st Place
-
4.91Western Michigan University-1.400.0%1st Place
-
4.14University of Notre Dame-0.860.1%1st Place
-
3.04University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
-
5.38University of Notre Dame-1.690.0%1st Place
-
3.67University of Michigan-0.540.1%1st Place
-
5.11Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Declercq | 52.9% | 28.4% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grant Moore | 3.9% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 21.3% | 22.0% |
| Mae Raab | 7.2% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 8.9% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 17.5% | 24.0% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Greene | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 34.8% |
| Benjamin Jepsen | 11.1% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 21.5% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Owen Bradley | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 24.8% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.