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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.70vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.63+2.72vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.06-1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-2.15+1.52vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.40-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.86-2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.15-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.72Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
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1.54Michigan State University1.060.6%1st Place
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5.52University of Notre Dame-2.150.0%1st Place
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4.49Western Michigan University-1.400.0%1st Place
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3.73University of Notre Dame-0.860.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Michigan-2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Zimmerman | 18.0% | 32.8% | 24.5% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Owen Bradley | 3.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 15.8% |
| Matthew Declercq | 62.0% | 26.4% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| William Markley | 1.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 22.5% | 36.4% |
| Grant Moore | 4.6% | 7.5% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 11.7% |
| Mae Raab | 6.9% | 16.4% | 23.4% | 22.3% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Chiaravalli | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 24.3% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.