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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.90+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+1.36vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.00+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.70+0.39vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.11-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Southern California0.9019.6%1st Place
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3.36University of Hawaii1.0520.3%1st Place
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3.52Stanford University1.0017.8%1st Place
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3.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.0822.1%1st Place
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5.46University of California at Berkeley-0.225.1%1st Place
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6.39University of California at San Diego-0.703.3%1st Place
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6.32Arizona State University-0.392.5%1st Place
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4.52University of Washington0.119.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 19.6% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 20.3% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Ava Cornell | 17.8% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 22.1% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 16.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 23.8% | 38.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 25.4% | 35.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.