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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.86+2.62vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.06-0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-2.15+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-2.15+1.51vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.10-2.24vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.63-1.25vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.40-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of Notre Dame-0.860.1%1st Place
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1.58Michigan State University1.060.6%1st Place
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5.46University of Notre Dame-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Michigan-2.150.0%1st Place
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2.76University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.75Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
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4.33Western Michigan University-1.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mae Raab | 8.7% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 21.8% | 17.6% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Declercq | 60.3% | 26.6% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Markley | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 24.6% | 34.4% |
| Christopher Chiaravalli | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 24.1% | 36.4% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 16.7% | 31.1% | 27.0% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Owen Bradley | 3.5% | 6.2% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 22.7% | 15.3% |
| Grant Moore | 5.5% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 22.4% | 16.4% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.