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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.78vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.06-0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.47+0.25vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.40+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-2.15+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-2.15-0.46vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-1.63-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78University of Wisconsin-0.100.2%1st Place
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1.64Michigan State University1.060.6%1st Place
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3.25University of Notre Dame-0.470.1%1st Place
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4.56Western Michigan University-1.400.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Michigan-2.150.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Notre Dame-2.150.0%1st Place
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4.68Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Zimmerman | 18.9% | 29.2% | 23.4% | 16.4% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Declercq | 58.0% | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Costa | 11.7% | 19.5% | 29.1% | 20.6% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Grant Moore | 3.7% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 20.0% | 11.2% |
| Christopher Chiaravalli | 1.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 23.2% | 37.3% |
| William Markley | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 24.4% | 35.8% |
| Owen Bradley | 4.5% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 23.0% | 23.4% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.