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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+3.68vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.44+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+1.75vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.39vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University2.27-1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.31-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.15-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.86-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.679.7%1st Place
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3.12Stanford University2.4423.8%1st Place
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4.75University of Southern California1.7110.2%1st Place
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4.39California Poly Maritime Academy1.9211.4%1st Place
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3.32San Diego State University2.2721.6%1st Place
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5.2University of Hawaii1.318.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Washington1.158.0%1st Place
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6.14University of California at Berkeley0.865.8%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Henry Boeger | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
Chapman Petersen | 23.8% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Hudson Mayfield | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
Nicholas Mueller | 11.4% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
Noah Nyenhuis | 21.6% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Everett McAvoy | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 5.5% |
Oliver Nairn | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 7.3% |
Carsten Zieger | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 23.1% | 15.4% |
Rigel Mummers | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.