Race 7A

saisa-sp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Dean Nixon 6.0% 6.1% 8.5% 9.5% 8.8% 12.1% 14.5% 10.9% 10.0% 7.3% 4.8% 1.5%
Giancarlo Falconi 5.8% 6.6% 10.1% 9.2% 9.4% 11.8% 12.2% 12.0% 10.2% 7.3% 4.6% 0.8%
Geoffrey Nelson 29.5% 20.4% 16.8% 14.3% 9.1% 5.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 15.0% 18.4% 16.7% 14.8% 12.4% 9.2% 5.8% 3.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Sara Simon 6.1% 8.2% 8.8% 10.3% 10.9% 12.3% 9.8% 10.2% 9.1% 7.9% 5.1% 1.3%
Sophie Salomon 5.4% 7.2% 7.1% 8.5% 9.7% 10.1% 12.2% 13.4% 10.5% 8.8% 5.4% 1.7%
Samuel Normington 20.1% 20.2% 15.5% 12.0% 12.6% 8.3% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Victoria Caba 2.1% 2.7% 3.6% 3.4% 5.4% 5.2% 8.1% 8.2% 10.6% 16.1% 20.5% 14.1%
Benjamin Tino 2.7% 3.5% 3.6% 6.2% 7.3% 9.3% 9.7% 11.9% 15.1% 11.6% 13.8% 5.3%
Nelson Millett 3.7% 3.2% 3.8% 4.7% 5.9% 6.6% 7.8% 11.1% 13.6% 16.1% 14.9% 8.6%
Kameron Boike 3.1% 2.6% 4.5% 5.3% 7.1% 7.4% 9.1% 11.4% 12.5% 15.9% 14.3% 6.8%
Jeroen Poelstra 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 1.4% 2.6% 1.5% 3.4% 4.6% 6.7% 15.8% 59.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.