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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.40+2.52vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.85+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.38+0.66vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.77+0.95vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.68-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.01+2.72vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.78-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.82-3.38vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.39-1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-0.22-1.01vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.70-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of South Florida2.400.2%1st Place
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4.6Eckerd College1.850.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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4.95Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.98Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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8.72University of South Florida0.010.0%1st Place
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6.9Jacksonville University0.780.1%1st Place
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4.62University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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7.98University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Florida-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.08Rollins College0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sanandajian | 19.4% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Armington | 18.3% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Peterson | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Delaney Caron | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 22.0% | 29.3% |
| Natalie Butler | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Kyle Magno | 12.6% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Toby Perelmuter | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 16.9% |
| Jonathan Rudich | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 37.7% |
| Maria Ayala | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.