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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.77+3.67vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.85+2.41vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.68+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.40-1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.82-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.39+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Florida2.38-4.76vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.78-2.45vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-0.22-1.42vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.01-2.90vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-1.41-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.41Eckerd College1.850.1%1st Place
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4.89Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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3.42University of South Florida2.400.2%1st Place
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4.49University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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7.54University of South Florida0.390.0%1st Place
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3.24University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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6.55Jacksonville University0.780.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Florida-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.1University of South Florida0.010.0%1st Place
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10.12Rollins College-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hana Zwick | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bradford Cederberg | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Peterson | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 20.5% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Magno | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Toby Perelmuter | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Armington | 23.1% | 22.5% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Butler | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 1.4% |
| Jonathan Rudich | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 19.7% | 29.0% | 16.6% |
| Delaney Caron | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 23.8% | 9.9% |
| Chance Sweat | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.