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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.00+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.11-1.40vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39-0.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Stanford University1.0017.5%1st Place
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3.24University of Southern California0.9019.8%1st Place
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3.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.0823.3%1st Place
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3.41University of Hawaii1.0517.9%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Berkeley-0.225.8%1st Place
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4.6University of Washington0.119.4%1st Place
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6.3Arizona State University-0.393.1%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego-0.703.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Cornell | 17.5% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 19.8% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 23.3% | 18.6% | 19.5% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 17.9% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 21.5% | 16.9% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 22.9% | 37.7% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 25.1% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.