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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+8.61vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+6.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.14vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+1.27vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.71+1.77vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+5.33vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.50+4.74vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.28+0.42vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01+0.55vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.97+0.04vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.21-2.13vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-6.83vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-2.58vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.38-2.90vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-6.39vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.85-6.56vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.59-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.61Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.39Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.33Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.74Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.42Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.55Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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10.04Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.42Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.1George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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10.44Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 8.7% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% |
| India Johnstone | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 10.8% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Louise Currie | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.